2024 Outlook for USPS Letter Carriers

The outlook for USPS letter carriers in 2024 is a mixed bag, with both challenges and potential opportunities. Here are some key factors to consider:


  • Contract Negotiations: The current contract between the National Association of Letter Carriers (NALC) and USPS expired in May 2023. Bargaining for a new one is ongoing, and reaching a fair agreement could be difficult. Key sticking points include wages, benefits, and working conditions. Negotiations are expected to conclude by February/March 2024 at the latest.
  • Package Delivery Boom: While mail volume continues to decline, package delivery volume remains high due to the rise of e-commerce. This can lead to heavier workloads and increased stress for letter carriers.
  • Automation: USPS is increasingly investing in automation technologies like sorting machines and delivery drones. While these can improve efficiency, they could also lead to job losses for some letter carriers.
  • Financial Instability: USPS faces financial challenges due to declining mail volume and the high cost of maintaining its nationwide delivery network. These challenges could lead to service cuts or closures, impacting letter carriers’ jobs.


  • Growing Package Demand: The continued growth of the e-commerce market presents an opportunity for letter carriers to secure their jobs and potentially even see increased workload and pay.
  • Union Representation: NALC is a strong union that actively advocates for its members’ rights and interests. This can help letter carriers secure fair wages, benefits, and working conditions.
  • Retirement Wave: A large number of baby boomers are nearing retirement age, which could create job openings for new letter carriers.
  • Public Support: USPS enjoys strong public support due to its essential role in delivering mail and packages. This could help in securing funding and preventing cutbacks.

Overall, the outlook for USPS letter carriers in 2024 is uncertain. While there are challenges, there are also opportunities. The outcome will largely depend on the success of contract negotiations, the continued growth of e-commerce, and USPS’s ability to address its financial challenges.

Here are some additional resources you may find helpful: